causality

Report for Ching-Wei Wang

Download Fact sheet

 Profile of features selected

Figure 1: Profile of features selected. (Click to enlarge). Legend: dcause=direct cause, deffect=direct effects, ocauses=other causes (indirect), oeffects=other effects (indirect), spouses=parent of a direct effect, orelatives=other relatives, unrelated=completely irrelevant

 Tscore performance of all entries

Figure 2: Tscore of all entries made as a function of entry order. (Click to enlarge). The dashed lines indicate the 25 and 50 percentiles.

 Fscore performance of all entries

Figure 3: Fscore of all entries made as a function of entry order. (Click to enlarge). The dashed lines indicate the 25 and 50 percentiles.

Performances:

Fnum=number of features (*=sorted list, **=table of results. Fnum given for best Tscore if table of results submitted), Fscore=MB AUC, Tscore=AUC of test predictions; Top Ts=best score among all valid last entries made by participants. Max Ts=best score reachable, including reference entries using the knowledge of true causal relationships not available to participants.
* Entry Method Fnum Fscore Tscore (Ts) Top Ts Max Ts <Tscore> Rank
REGED0 1240 c 999/999 0.0000 0.99380.0013 1.0000 1.0000
REGED1 1240 c 999/999 0.0000 0.90220.0044 0.9980 0.9980 0.8512 10
REGED2 1240 c 999/999 0.0000 0.65770.0057 0.8600 0.9534
SIDO0 455 10 4932/4932 0.0000 0.62590.0117 0.9443 0.9467
SIDO1 455 10 4932/4932 0.0000 0.50230.0021 0.7532 0.7893 0.5402 14
SIDO2 455 10 4932/4932 0.0000 0.49250.0006 0.6684 0.7674
CINA0 599 15 132/132 0.0000 0.92460.0034 0.9788 0.9788
CINA1 599 15 132/132 0.0000 0.67780.0052 0.8977 0.8977 0.7249 12
CINA2 599 15 132/132 0.0000 0.57220.0050 0.8157 0.8910
MARTI0 599 15 1024/1024 0.0000 0.68280.0056 0.9996 0.9996
MARTI1 599 15 1024/1024 0.0000 0.62940.0058 0.9470 0.9542 0.6527 10
MARTI2 599 15 1024/1024 0.0000 0.64590.0060 0.7975 0.8273

Return to Causation and Predition Challenge Analysis