Report for H.A. Jen

Figure 1: Profile of features selected. (Click to enlarge). Legend: dcause=direct cause, deffect=direct effects, ocauses=other causes (indirect), oeffects=other effects (indirect), spouses=parent of a direct effect, orelatives=other relatives, unrelated=completely irrelevant

Figure 2: Tscore of all entries made as a function of entry order. (Click to enlarge). The dashed lines indicate the 25 and 50 percentiles.

Figure 3: Fscore of all entries made as a function of entry order. (Click to enlarge). The dashed lines indicate the 25 and 50 percentiles.

Performances:

Fnum=number of features (*=sorted list, **=table of results. Fnum given for best Tscore if table of results submitted), Fscore=MB AUC, Tscore=AUC of test predictions; Top Ts=best score among all valid last entries made by participants. Max Ts=best score reachable, including reference entries using the knowledge of true causal relationships not available to participants.

*	Entry	Method	Fnum	Fscore	Tscore (Ts)	Top Ts	Max Ts	<Tscore>	Rank
REGED0	51	RISC Extension	42/999	0.7704	0.9786±0.0022	1.0000	1.0000
REGED1	51	RISC Extension	46/999	0.8026	0.5587±0.0038	0.9980	0.9980	0.6933
REGED2	51	RISC Extension	46/999	0.9779	0.5427±0.0037	0.8600	0.9534
SIDO0	51	RISC Extension	181/4932	0.5055	0.6826±0.0129	0.9443	0.9467
SIDO1	51	RISC Extension	186/4932	0.4909	0.5012±0.0015	0.7532	0.7893	0.5604
SIDO2	51	RISC Extension	165/4932	0.4932	0.4974±0.0028	0.6684	0.7674

Return to Causation and Predition Challenge Analysis