causality

Report for Louis Duclos-Gosselin

 Profile of features selected

Figure 1: Profile of features selected. (Click to enlarge). Legend: dcause=direct cause, deffect=direct effects, ocauses=other causes (indirect), oeffects=other effects (indirect), spouses=parent of a direct effect, orelatives=other relatives, unrelated=completely irrelevant

 Tscore performance of all entries

Figure 2: Tscore of all entries made as a function of entry order. (Click to enlarge). The dashed lines indicate the 25 and 50 percentiles.

 Fscore performance of all entries

Figure 3: Fscore of all entries made as a function of entry order. (Click to enlarge). The dashed lines indicate the 25 and 50 percentiles.

Performances:

Fnum=number of features (*=sorted list, **=table of results. Fnum given for best Tscore if table of results submitted), Fscore=MB AUC, Tscore=AUC of test predictions; Top Ts=best score among all valid last entries made by participants. Max Ts=best score reachable, including reference entries using the knowledge of true causal relationships not available to participants.
* Entry Method Fnum Fscore Tscore (Ts) Top Ts Max Ts <Tscore> Rank
REGED0 361 Bayes Method 66/999 * 0.6973 0.93110.0040 1.0000 1.0000
REGED1 361 Bayes Method 10/999 * 0.6761 0.84060.0054 0.9980 0.9980 0.7582 14
REGED2 361 Bayes Method 66/999 * 0.7317 0.50300.0016 0.8600 0.9534
SIDO0 361 Bayes Method 6/4932 * 0.5007 0.89560.0082 0.9443 0.9467
SIDO1 361 Bayes Method 25/4932 * 0.4994 0.52440.0081 0.7532 0.7893 0.6254 10
SIDO2 361 Bayes Method 6/4932 * 0.5005 0.45620.0059 0.6684 0.7674
CINA0 361 Bayes Method 106/132 * 0.6440 0.93370.0030 0.9788 0.9788
CINA1 361 Bayes Method 109/132 * 0.6689 0.74190.0052 0.8977 0.8977 0.7453 11
CINA2 361 Bayes Method 109/132 * 0.6689 0.56020.0052 0.8157 0.8910
MARTI0 361 Bayes Method 10/1024 * 0.4950 0.91960.0041 0.9996 0.9996
MARTI1 361 Bayes Method 2/1024 * 0.4990 0.66580.0060 0.9470 0.9542 0.7539 9
MARTI2 361 Bayes Method 2/1024 * 0.4990 0.67640.0062 0.7975 0.8273

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