Report for Mehreen Saeed

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Figure 1: Performance as a function of the number of features. (Click to enlarge). Legend: red: REGED, green: SIDO, blue: CINA, black: MARTI. circle: version 1 (unmanipulated test set), full circle: version 2 (manipulated), star: version 3 (manipulated)

Figure 2: Profile of features selected. (Click to enlarge). Legend: dcause=direct cause, deffect=direct effects, ocauses=other causes (indirect), oeffects=other effects (indirect), spouses=parent of a direct effect, orelatives=other relatives, unrelated=completely irrelevant

Figure 3: Tscore of all entries made as a function of entry order. (Click to enlarge). The dashed lines indicate the 25 and 50 percentiles.

Figure 4: Fscore of all entries made as a function of entry order. (Click to enlarge). The dashed lines indicate the 25 and 50 percentiles.

Performances:

Fnum=number of features (*=sorted list, **=table of results. Fnum given for best Tscore if table of results submitted), Fscore=MB AUC, Tscore=AUC of test predictions; Top Ts=best score among all valid last entries made by participants. Max Ts=best score reachable, including reference entries using the knowledge of true causal relationships not available to participants.

*	Entry	Method	Fnum	Fscore	Tscore (Ts)	Top Ts	Max Ts	<Tscore>	Rank
SIDO0	1413	final entry 2	8/4932 **	0.4971	0.9391±0.0079	0.9443	0.9467
SIDO1	1413	final entry 2	4096/4932 **	0.7242	0.7246±0.0137	0.7532	0.7893	0.7618	4
SIDO2	1413	final entry 2	512/4932 **	0.7242	0.6216±0.0132	0.6684	0.7674
CINA0	1413	final entry 2	32/132 **	0.5069	0.9751±0.0031	0.9788	0.9788
CINA1	1413	final entry 2	16/132 **	0.7858	0.8248±0.0045	0.8977	0.8977	0.8289	6
CINA2	1413	final entry 2	16/132 **	0.7858	0.6867±0.0041	0.8157	0.8910

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