Report for Florin Popescu

Download Fact sheet

Figure 1: Profile of features selected. (Click to enlarge). Legend: dcause=direct cause, deffect=direct effects, ocauses=other causes (indirect), oeffects=other effects (indirect), spouses=parent of a direct effect, orelatives=other relatives, unrelated=completely irrelevant

Figure 2: Tscore of all entries made as a function of entry order. (Click to enlarge). The dashed lines indicate the 25 and 50 percentiles.

Figure 3: Fscore of all entries made as a function of entry order. (Click to enlarge). The dashed lines indicate the 25 and 50 percentiles.

Performances:

Fnum=number of features (*=sorted list, **=table of results. Fnum given for best Tscore if table of results submitted), Fscore=MB AUC, Tscore=AUC of test predictions; Top Ts=best score among all valid last entries made by participants. Max Ts=best score reachable, including reference entries using the knowledge of true causal relationships not available to participants.

*	Entry	Method	Fnum	Fscore	Tscore (Ts)	Top Ts	Max Ts	<Tscore>	Rank
CINA0	1495	optimally compressive regression	25/132 *	0.6087	0.7769±0.0051	0.9788	0.9788
CINA1	1495	optimally compressive regression	25/132 *	0.7639	0.7322±0.0052	0.8977	0.8977	0.7488	10
CINA2	1495	optimally compressive regression	25/132 *	0.7639	0.7372±0.0052	0.8157	0.8910

Return to Causation and Predition Challenge Analysis